What would the impact be on markets if proper and verifiable disclosure proving the existence of extra-terrestrial aircraft visiting earth was announced? I guess there's no benchmark for this!
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Thanks to Ryan for his sportsmanship and good humour over the 'bet'. (Along with the £50 fund raiser contribution, of course.) Also to Raffe for his enlightened commentary.
Are you angling for a bet with Raffe that ET will arrive by Christmas?
If anyone else wants to join, I will do more.
Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.
Quick question - all things being equal is a Fund with a Net Asset Value higher than current fund price typically considered good value? Logic would dictate that it is but then logic doesn't always pervade in financial markets.
All in.
On a serious note: if all things would be equal, the fund wouldn't trade at a discount in the first place. Find the reason why it does and then do your own assessment if that reason is justified and how much money you want to risk to find out if your analysis was correct.
Same as buying any stock or fund.
Last edited by Raffe; 1st July 2021 at 07:10.
Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.
I doubt anyone else is as hopeful/deluded/optimistic as me.
I think I may need Elon's help to win the bet.
Rumour has it that it was Colin Kaepernick...
This will make a lot of waves in national press tomorrow: https://twitter.com/meiselasb/status...41707985641472
Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.
The s&p 500 rally keeps on going it’s reached a new high of 4,319, it’s on a remarkable run!
Isn’t the P/E ratio an indicator of the value of the stock market and at 45, it seems overpriced by historical standards.
https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio
Last edited by jonny; 2nd July 2021 at 00:45.
A long way to go before it beats the 2009 all time high of 123.
This is trailing earnings, that chart makes no sense - as proven by the 2009 reading. It is comparing last year's earnings with this year's stock prices, which obviously runs into a problem when the economy emerges from a recession (and last year's earnings are very low, while the stock market powers ahead pricing in future earnings potential). Similar pictures this year, last year's earnings are depressed while the market is looking forward.
I am not saying the market isn't expensive and it may very well correct substantially very soon, but this chart is garbage.
Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.
Raffe, are you in this video somewhere? Lolz
https://www.instagram.com/p/CQ08O8TjVdG/
As I said, i am not saying the market is fairly valued. I am just saying that chart is garbage.
The market has seen unprecedented liquidity thrown at it, and it also has seen an unprecedented inflow of new traders. There was only one direction this could go.
But at one point reality will kick back in. There are many reasons for caution and I believe we are close to a cycle high around here. We have seen a few corrections already during the past months, but every time there were tons of money buying the dip. Let's see how the next dip develops. Maybe the buyers just don't show up. Maybe they do. Who knows?
Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.
FTSE plummets as inflation fears return
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Dunno was just quoting The Telegraph
And anyway 'plummets' is back 3 weeks
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Are our inflation sceptics still confident inflation won't be a major factor in the markets moving forward?
Not really not when a my mortgage is 1.4%
Tbh my spare cash is now in a little bitcoin mining operation and the rest in tracker funds so I'm gliding towards the bitcoin thread, so will leave this one, I've met some wonderful people so a bit sad to the moon!
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You are looking backwards.
This is what happens when we are coming out of a crisis, especially when demand is accelerating while manufacturing has not seen any investments last year (because everybody was saving). There is real capacity shortage and that is driving prices.
But that is happening every time after a recession and should be expected to be very pronounced after the biggest recession in mankind's history - even if it was short-lived due to massive government intervention.
What counts is if we have inflation next year - and I see no reason to believe that.
Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.
With inflation rising and the FTSE falling, where is the best place to put your money ?
Doge coin ? Really, put ourselves at the mercy of Elon ?
I wonder how much of the inflation is based on much lower prices during the pandemic? I.e what would a 2 year average look like?
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