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Thread: When stocks rebound, WHERE best to invest?

  1. #4251
    Grand Master wileeeeeey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Montello View Post
    Why has this particular stock seen such volatility?
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...es-to-the-moon

    @Raffe is it true a company can request that its shares are not shorted (borrowed)?

    Is it also true if you own the shares you can tell your broker not to lend them out?

    Seems to have been a big part of the story, limiting short availability from restricting the borrowing of shares therefore the ability to short.

  2. #4252
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by wileeeeeey View Post
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...es-to-the-moon

    @Raffe is it true a company can request that its shares are not shorted (borrowed)?

    Is it also true if you own the shares you can tell your broker not to lend them out?

    Seems to have been a big part of the story, limiting short availability from restricting the borrowing of shares therefore the ability to short.
    A company cannot prevent their shares to be shorted, but you as the owner of shares can tell your broker not to lend them to others for shorting.

    But this is actually not in your best interest. Shorting is a crucial part of efficient markets and those holding shorts are usually the only buyers left in a market when the price starts sliding and everybody else wants to sell.

  3. #4253
    Grand Master wileeeeeey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    A company cannot prevent their shares to be shorted, but you as the owner of shares can tell your broker not to lend them to others for shorting.

    But this is actually not in your best interest. Shorting is a crucial part of efficient markets and those holding shorts are usually the only buyers left in a market when the price starts sliding and everybody else wants to sell.
    Understood. I think my thinking (and theirs) was that by blocking the shares you own from being borrowed you stop people from being able to sort and it helps the stock remain stable or even go up.

    I wonder how many of the WSB crew truly believe in the "never sell never surrender" motto. I would have cashed in by now.

  4. #4254
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by wileeeeeey View Post
    Understood. I think my thinking (and theirs) was that by blocking the shares you own from being borrowed you stop people from being able to sort and it helps the stock remain stable or even go up.

    I wonder how many of the WSB crew truly believe in the "never sell never surrender" motto. I would have cashed in by now.
    It's going to end very ugly when the music stops. Applying any conventional wisdom, it should have stopped months ago already - but it's still playing, and playing faster than ever before.

    Take your bets.

  5. #4255
    Master mr noble's Avatar
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    Surely those in the know at WSB and Robinhood are orchestrating it all from behind the scenes and using the stimmi kids and FOMO brigade to pump the stock and then dumping it themselves to cash in on the whole thing?

    If they’re all never supposed to sell.....who benefits?


    Or are they really trying to be just like Robin of Loxley?

    - - - Updated - - -

    Thanks for the answer to my question Raffe. :-)
    Last edited by mr noble; 26th January 2021 at 22:04.

  6. #4256
    Grand Master wileeeeeey's Avatar
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    Two hilarious screenshots re GameStop.

  7. #4257
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Gamestop trading at $240 right now.
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  8. #4258
    Master mr noble's Avatar
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    Absolutely bonkers after hours trading. It’s doubled since the market closed. (Never understood why aftermarket trading exists. Why is it ok for some to be able to trade a stock when others cannot!?)

    https://m.uk.investing.com/analysis/...stop-200453266

  9. #4259
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Who cannot trade in the after hours market?
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  10. #4260
    Meanwhile the world runs out of graphics cards and Microsoft surge

    Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk

  11. #4261
    Master mr noble's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    Who cannot trade in the after hours market?
    Me. (On my HL platform)

  12. #4262
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr noble View Post
    Me. (On my HL platform)
    I cannot trade after hours on PayPal. If you want to, get a decent broker - but don't say you cannot trade.
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  13. #4263
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    If anyone is interested to learn why GME jumped 50% after hours:

    The world's richest idiot poured gasoline into the fire, just for shits and giggles. What a time to be alive.

    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  14. #4264
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    If anyone is interested to learn why GME jumped 50% after hours:

    The world's richest idiot poured gasoline into the fire, just for shits and giggles. What a time to be alive.

    LOL what crazy times we live in. Stimmyllionnaires in the making!

  15. #4265
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr noble View Post
    As per the title of this thread, and the title of this post.....


    What do our resident gurus feel the best places to be invested may be if there is another bear tumble coming along, and the bubble is about to pop?


    Is it best to be fully out of everything and sat in cash again, or in inflation proof commodities and metals? Or in the emerging markets that are said to be leading the post Covid rebound?


    It’s obviously a crystal ball question, but there must be safer places to be than all in FTSE trackers and SMT?
    Not a guru, but in my experience after 40 years of investing my retirement money, when the stock market enters a major bear market there are very few stocks that buck the trend. Almost all equities take a hit just because of fear. I'm not well-versed in non-equity investments, so I can't help you there. I generally just bail into cash.

  16. #4266
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    WS/B says blue horseshoe is buying $AMC.

    Place your bets.
    Last edited by Raffe; 27th January 2021 at 06:53.
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  17. #4267
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    A tale of 2 high street retailers for me at the moment

    WOSG - doing quite nicely...watch and jewellery sales up everyone spending excess hoilday money on luxuries...and at full margin on brands we love ....

    JD Sports — hmmm a good business model with seemingly strong online sales beating Covid high street blues with good financials ....but please ...Stop telling the press “we’re going to buy Debenhams shops”....”We’re going to buy Top Shop’s premises”....spooking everyone, its either a great ploy my management to drop share price so they can personally buy more shares..then say “nah we’re not buying them”. or it’s just boardroom bravado...

    Anyway ones gain in matching the others decline (currently).....

  18. #4268

    When stocks rebound, WHERE best to invest?

    If you want excellent analysis of the epic US stock market bubble, then this is worth 30 mins of your time.

    It not only talks about all the key data available but reviews key commentators, the scale of people being sucked into the market and the general ramping going on. It is scary but amazing at the same time.

    This is now a minority of videos on YT. Most are now how to make 10x, 50x or 100x on stonks. You know things are bad when everyone and their dog are promoting these type of stonks.

    https://youtu.be/KZGqkt8bCkY
    Last edited by noTAGlove; 27th January 2021 at 09:15.

  19. #4269
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    WS/B says blue horseshoe is buying $AMC.

    Place your bets.

    Gamestop trading at EUR 255 = $ 312 in German markets pre-US opening (versus $ 147.98 official US close and $ 209.51 after hours)

    AMC Entertainment at EUR 12.20 = $ 14.80 (versus $ 4.96 official US close and $8.23 US after hours)

  20. #4270
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    Simple explainer for the GME situation here: https://youtu.be/4EUbJcGoYQ4

    Note, video contains swearing.

  21. #4271
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    The next thing which is going to happen is that there will be mass liquidations of long/short portfolios: funds and institutional investors will need to buy back their shorts and at the same time sell their long holdings. WS/B is already going through fund filings and identifying the long holdings which can be shorted now. AMZN, AAPL, BABA etc come to mind. Or simply the S&P500.

  22. #4272
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Crazy doesn't begin to describe the action in some of the r/WSB stocks.

    After having peaked at $ 365 half an hour ago, GME is $285 now.

    AMC has traded between $9.26 and $14.00, $10.25 now.

  23. #4273
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    $185.00
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  24. #4274
    Master mr noble's Avatar
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    I expect AMC will double or triple at 14:30 today.

  25. #4275
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr noble View Post
    I expect AMC will double or triple at 14:30 today.
    AMC has just within five minutes both traded at $8.25 and $10.45.
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  26. #4276
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    $265 and $11.60, then lower again.


    I am done for today, too crazy. Sold some Gamestop short at $267, wanted to cover half at $188. Then I became greedy and cancelled the order again, ended up buying it back at $252.

    Just keeping a small short in SP500 futures, watching from the sidelines now.
    Last edited by Raffe; 27th January 2021 at 13:16.
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  27. #4277
    I read about game 2 weeks back and added it to my watch list, now up 275% since I started to watch it :-( totally missed the boom yesterday.

    What’s everyone’s guy feeling? Drop them build back or drop and keep dropping?


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  28. #4278
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    Hasn’t GameStop just become a toy of the markets, the underlying business is irrelevant at this point.

    I’d stay well clear.

  29. #4279
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    Quote Originally Posted by Montello View Post
    Hasn’t GameStop just become a toy of the markets, the underlying business is irrelevant at this point.

    I’d stay well clear.
    It became a toy a long time ago.

    Right now make some popcorn and jump on the latest tesla rocket to the moon

    * disclaimer I am not saying buying shares


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  30. #4280
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    Raffe what are your thoughts on the current Spac hype?

    It's been great to make a quick profit from positions on them.


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  31. #4281
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Blockbuster Video, in liquidation since 2010.

    Yesterday's share closing: $0.0057

    Today's price: $0.0498 (up 773%)

    Yeah, sure.

    By the way, AMC just traded above $17, about 90 minutes after hitting $8.27

  32. #4282
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    I'm the lunatic who had 25% of his SIPP in BTC and still I wouldn't touch gamestop with a bargepole because it is pure gambling as to when the froth ends because it is clearly massively overheated due to crowd activity and the decline will be fast and huge and you could lose 95% of your investment just like that

  33. #4283
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by optix View Post
    Raffe what are your thoughts on the current Spac hype?

    It's been great to make a quick profit from positions on them.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    I have been making some nice money off SPACs lately, it was really easy to play, far too easy actually. I have two small positions left, liquidating one as I type this and the other one is below $11, so not too large downside risk (at least applying the conventional logic of the last year).

    I think the market will eventually return to more rational behaviour, but when? Dunno. I am out for the moment, want to see what's happening after this.

  34. #4284
    Grand Master ryanb741's Avatar
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    I see on WSB the focus is moving away from trying to annihilate Melvin Capital and now they want to go after JP Morgan. Somewhat trickier I'd say lol

  35. #4285
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    Saying that sod it I've stuck £1k Fill or Kill at best price on both AMC and GAM, just to see what happens as lots of 'hodl' chat on WSB meaning I can't see people pulling out just yet

  36. #4286
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanb741 View Post
    Saying that sod it I've stuck £1k Fill or Kill at best price on both AMC and GAM, just to see what happens as lots of 'hodl' chat on WSB meaning I can't see people pulling out just yet
    Ryan

    You just said you didn't want to join the party.


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  37. #4287
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    I have been making some nice money off SPACs lately, it was really easy to play, far too easy actually. I have two small positions left, liquidating one as I type this and the other one is below $11, so not too large downside risk (at least applying the conventional logic of the last year).

    I think the market will eventually return to more rational behaviour, but when? Dunno. I am out for the moment, want to see what's happening after this.
    Yes the spacs have been very easy.

    I've got 3 left open right now. I'll cut down to 1 next week.


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  38. #4288
    As someone who has no previous experience in anything stock-y.... it's very difficult to understand what is going on here. GME obviously isn't normal, but is this just a case of the bigger companies cocking it up?

    Is it easy enough to get started with a small cash sum (say £100, £500?) and keep moving it about?

    If anyone has any pointers on where to start, please let me know.

  39. #4289
    Quote Originally Posted by jkb89 View Post
    As someone who has no previous experience in anything stock-y.... it's very difficult to understand what is going on here. GME obviously isn't normal, but is this just a case of the bigger companies cocking it up?
    5 minute video explanation, here: https://twitter.com/KFCBarstool/stat...04713605099521

  40. #4290
    Transaction costs (£6 and higher) will probably eat that up quickly.

  41. #4291
    Master mr noble's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanb741 View Post
    Saying that sod it I've stuck £1k Fill or Kill at best price on both AMC and GAM, just to see what happens as lots of 'hodl' chat on WSB meaning I can't see people pulling out just yet
    I'm not expecting them to get filled. We'll probably get an e-mail saying the orders couldn't be placed in time....or.... we will have them filled at the absolute peak and immediately be at a loss. Who knows. It's a bit of entertainment during lockdown, which is mostly the cause of a lot of this craziness!





    ETA at 14:25 - I just bailed and cancelled my two bets on AMC and GME. I think with the current down spike that's going on, more people will be selling than buying. But of course, with things being as crazy as they are, it'll probably go the other way.....
    Last edited by mr noble; 27th January 2021 at 15:26.

  42. #4292
    Quote Originally Posted by jkb89 View Post
    As someone who has no previous experience in anything stock-y.... it's very difficult to understand what is going on here. GME obviously isn't normal, but is this just a case of the bigger companies cocking it up?

    Is it easy enough to get started with a small cash sum (say £100, £500?) and keep moving it about?

    If anyone has any pointers on where to start, please let me know.
    The market always needs new blood to keep the pseudo Ponzi scheme afloat.

    Good luck.

  43. #4293
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Few minutes ago new highs: GME $385, AMC $25.80

  44. #4294
    Grand Master ryanb741's Avatar
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    Go hard or go home fellas. Let's rock and roll and hodl for dear life ;)

  45. #4295
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    Quote Originally Posted by noTAGlove View Post
    The market always needs new blood to keep the pseudo Ponzi scheme afloat.

    Good luck.
    True, but the overinflated short selling created this scenario.

    When a stock is short sold >100% and people catch on, then it will correct.

    Original shorts will be burnt. Late longs will be burnt at some point. Greed either side will be found out.

  46. #4296
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    If only the WIS community could take hold of CFR and send it to the moon so we could walk away with new ultrathin overseas


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  47. #4297
    Master mr noble's Avatar
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    HL seems locked up again. 2 or 3 shares I just can't buy, currently. Get a message to say volume is too great and to try again later.


    Quite annoying when you can see the stock price going up and up but your bloody trades won't go through.

  48. #4298
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mangoosian View Post
    True, but the overinflated short selling created this scenario.

    When a stock is short sold >100% and people catch on, then it will correct.

    Original shorts will be burnt. Late longs will be burnt at some point. Greed either side will be found out.
    No sorry that is nonsense. The frenzy which started last year on Robinhood created this, this is copying the Tesla model on any stock out there.

    Right now all the bedroom traders are liquidating their crypto and SPAC positions to move into Gamestop and and AMC.

    Anyone interested in a nice tip? Buy NAKD at $0.40. It will be $3 tomorrow. (not financial advice, just a crazy hunch).

  49. #4299
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr noble View Post
    HL seems locked up again. 2 or 3 shares I just can't buy, currently. Get a message to say volume is too great and to try again later.


    Quite annoying when you can see the stock price going up and up but your bloody trades won't go through.
    Its not just HL. Trading 212 and others are down too, its chaos.

  50. #4300
    Can’t find NAKD on HL :-(


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