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Thread: When stocks rebound, WHERE best to invest?

  1. #1801

    When stocks rebound, WHERE best to invest?

    Well cash is king lasted for 4 weeks of March/April. Now back to cash is trash.

    If you invested in EasyJet 19 days ago, you would now be up 86%

  2. #1802
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    Quote Originally Posted by noTAGlove View Post

    If you invested in EasyJet 19 days ago, you would now be up 86%
    as they say "fortune favours the brave"

  3. #1803

  4. #1804
    Master murkeywaters's Avatar
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    Easyjet have done very well but the reality is they were on very dodgy ground when they were priced at £4, so for anyone who put a good cash sum in then had either great foresight or too much money to spunk on a punt..

  5. #1805
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    Quote Originally Posted by noTAGlove View Post
    Well cash is king lasted for 4 weeks of March/April. Now back to cash is trash.
    Steady... the ECB have pumped 600 billion stimulus into the system, probably the main reason shares are soaring, so again is money pushing up the foundations..

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...ndation-widget

  6. #1806
    Aston martin around 70P!!

  7. #1807
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    Quote Originally Posted by miguelh34 View Post
    Aston martin around 70P!!
    that's 70p too much to my mind - they owe more to lenders than the National debt, well not quite but they are heavily in debt with a weak market, over priced vehicles, worrying management and (now) a reduced product range .......one for the Liquidators!!

    the question to ask is what are you buying for your 70 pence?
    Last edited by BillN; 5th June 2020 at 12:24.

  8. #1808
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    Quote Originally Posted by BillN View Post
    the question to ask is what are you buying for your 70 pence?
    A wipeout/teaching yourself a lesson.

  9. #1809
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    Quote Originally Posted by miguelh34 View Post
    Aston martin around 70P!!
    Was less than 30p a month ago!

    - - - Updated - - -

    Quote Originally Posted by BillN View Post
    that's 70p too much to my mind - they owe more to lenders than the National debt, well not quite but they are heavily in debt with a weak market, over priced vehicles, worrying management and (now) a reduced product range .......one for the Liquidators!!

    the question to ask is what are you buying for your 70 pence?
    Future ownership by AMG Merc.

  10. #1810
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    Quote Originally Posted by Skyman View Post
    Was less than 30p a month ago!

    - - - Updated - - -


    Future ownership by AMG Merc.
    It was floated, the IPO, in October 2018 at £19, that's 1900 pence per share

    AMG Merc - but will the AM shareholders get any money?

  11. #1811
    Master Chr1stof's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Skyman View Post
    Was less than 30p a month ago!

    - - - Updated - - -


    Future ownership by AMG Merc.
    Is the ownership by AMG something that’s likely on there horizons for them?


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  12. #1812
    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    Let's also not forget that the market was already expensive before Corona, considering any valuation methodology. Why we would need to surpass these levels against the backdrop of a global recession, renewed tesnions with China and riots on the street is beyond me.
    I keep reading that "the stock market is not the economy". I think that's now proved beyond any doubt!

  13. #1813
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chr1stof View Post
    Is the ownership by AMG something that’s likely on there horizons for them?


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    Isn't the new MD a past Merc director?

  14. #1814
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    Quote Originally Posted by BillN View Post
    Isn't the new MD a past Merc director?
    Yes, and Toto Wolf has invested a lot recently too.

    1900p per share was an absolute joke.

    AM will be used as a prime example of how not to do an IPO for decades to come.

    AMG Merc will no doubt own it all soon.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BillN View Post
    Isn't the new MD a past Merc director?
    Tobias Moers, CEO AMG-Mercedes and comes with quite a reputation.

  16. #1816
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr noble View Post
    Yes, and Toto Wolf has invested a lot recently too.

    1900p per share was an absolute joke.

    AM will be used as a prime example of how not to do an IPO for decades to come.

    AMG Merc will no doubt own it all soon.
    by the end of the year won't it's debts be almost £1000 million - i.e. One billion £'s

    I just cannot see how the shareholders will get any return if the company is sold

  17. #1817
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    Interesting article for January 2020

    when the shares were 483 pence and Stroll bought in a £4 a share

    https://www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/new...ds-500m-rescue

  18. #1818
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    Markets will go mental now with that incredible US jobs data - expected a loss of 7.5m, jobs week on week and instead 2.5m more people were IN employment week on week meaning a positive delta of 10m jobs on economic forecasts!

  19. #1819
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    Aston Martin - it is reported that Wolff put £37 million into buying shares in April this year - albeit probably at about 50% of todays price

  20. #1820
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    Quote Originally Posted by miguelh34 View Post
    Aston martin around 70P!!
    Just sold my Aston shares yesterday bought in @ 28

  21. #1821
    Quote Originally Posted by ryanb741 View Post
    Markets will go mental now with that incredible US jobs data - expected a loss of 7.5m, jobs week on week and instead 2.5m more people were IN employment week on week meaning a positive delta of 10m jobs on economic forecasts!
    What idiotic forecasting

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  22. #1822
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanb741 View Post
    Interesting - may I ask the rationale for selling metals as I've taken the opposite position? Genuinely interested and I'm not trying to defend my position either as I appreciate there's a strong chance I'll be wrong!
    looks like Gold and Gold miners have taken a hit of 5% today, Ryan.......see what happens at the close

    (not helped by the US data?)

    but next week will be another week

  23. #1823
    Quote Originally Posted by miguelh34 View Post
    Aston martin around 70P!!
    And I bought at £4 thinking that could be a low ...... thankfully just a £500 punt.

    My ITM power done rather better. Bought April and up 162%


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  24. #1824
    Utter bonkers what is going on. Just madness. I have no clue what's going to happen any more.

  25. #1825
    My Sipp now back to the March high, long may this continue

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  26. #1826
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daveya. View Post
    My Sipp now back to the March high, long may this continue

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    but how do you feel, confident or nervous?

  27. #1827
    I'm 55 next week, I'm really past worrying now, I'm an optimist at heart and as my adviser says, pensions are long term investment and he wishes his clients didn't have portal sign jns because they keep checking balances every day lol

    I'm a relatively small investor and I've made 10k again this week, that makes me feel father smug and I can't be bothered worrying

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  28. #1828
    Quote Originally Posted by ryanb741 View Post
    Markets will go mental now with that incredible US jobs data - expected a loss of 7.5m, jobs week on week and instead 2.5m more people were IN employment week on week meaning a positive delta of 10m jobs on economic forecasts!
    Lets just see where we are in 3 months or so. After the "reopening".

  29. #1829
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    This is Hertz:



    They filed for bankruptcy on 22 May, that's the day the price fell from $2.83 to 80 cents. After some initial volatility, the stock has traded 80-ish cents for the past weeks, while the market digested the news that there wasn't much to expect for shareholders due to the complicated structure of off-balance sheet assets.

    Fast forward to yesterday, when the absolutely worthless stock came to life with no news at all and has now all but quadrupled in 24 hours, now trading higher than on the day before the bankruptcy filing. Lot's of speculation that US retail investors are putting their $1,200 stimulus checks to work. Happy days.

  30. #1830
    The orange narcissist is babbling away now, markets loving it

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  31. #1831
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maris View Post
    Is this the reason the market has been diving every Friday during this madness? Maybe an easy way to make money if it continues.
    Would have lost the house today with this strategy.

  32. #1832
    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    This is Hertz:


    They filed for bankruptcy on 22 May, that's the day the price fell from $2.83 to 80 cents. After some initial volatility, the stock has traded 80-ish cents for the past weeks, while the market digested the news that there wasn't much to expect for shareholders due to the complicated structure of off-balance sheet assets.

    Fast forward to yesterday, when the absolutely worthless stock came to life with no news at all and has now all but quadrupled in 24 hours, now trading higher than on the day before the bankruptcy filing. Lot's of speculation that US retail investors are putting their $1,200 stimulus checks to work. Happy days.
    A friend said strategic bankruptcy can be helpful in America due to the protections. Admittedly still not a reason at all to pump up 4x and probably further highlights that bad companies are continuing to operate and will likely do so until it all ends in tears.

  33. #1833
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    I know that I am a miserable old bugger, but here is a comment I picked up today

    "British Airways is under huge financial strain due to the pandemic, and has said it is currently burning through its cash reserves at a rate of around £1m per hour."

  34. #1834
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    Agreed. This is why I have proceeded with my exodus from the market aside from the Pharma and some tech stocks and a bit of gold regardless of days like today because if you make money today it is just by luck. So if luck is the sole determinant of making money best go to a casino and do it - at least you can have a nice drink at the same time. But this whole thing stinks of an horrendous crash to come, and the same irrationality that takes the stock market to where it is today will take it down below where it ought to be priced at in 6 months or so.
    Quote Originally Posted by Raffe View Post
    This is Hertz:


    They filed for bankruptcy on 22 May, that's the day the price fell from $2.83 to 80 cents. After some initial volatility, the stock has traded 80-ish cents for the past weeks, while the market digested the news that there wasn't much to expect for shareholders due to the complicated structure of off-balance sheet assets.

    Fast forward to yesterday, when the absolutely worthless stock came to life with no news at all and has now all but quadrupled in 24 hours, now trading higher than on the day before the bankruptcy filing. Lot's of speculation that US retail investors are putting their $1,200 stimulus checks to work. Happy days.

  35. #1835
    Quote Originally Posted by ryanb741 View Post
    Agreed. This is why I have proceeded with my exodus from the market aside from the Pharma and some tech stocks and a bit of gold regardless of days like today because if you make money today it is just by luck. So if luck is the sole determinant of making money best go to a casino and do it - at least you can have a nice drink at the same time. But this whole thing stinks of an horrendous crash to come, and the same irrationality that takes the stock market to where it is today will take it down below where it ought to be priced at in 6 months or so.
    I agree

  36. #1836
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    Quote Originally Posted by crazyp View Post
    A friend said strategic bankruptcy can be helpful in America due to the protections. Admittedly still not a reason at all to pump up 4x and probably further highlights that bad companies are continuing to operate and will likely do so until it all ends in tears.
    Bankruptcy in the US is very helpful for the company to continue - but shareholders are usually wiped out as debtors and new investors get all the new shares.

    I have no doubt that Hertz will survive, but the current shareholders will own next to nothing of the future company.
    Someone who lies about the little things will lie about the big things too.

  37. #1837
    The Dow Jones is now back to Nov 19 levels.

    If markets are forward looking and have priced in the recovery (based off future earnings ) then why did market rocket 900 points?

    The Dow Jones at the peak of this graph was 28k , it’s now rallied to 27k today (pretty much the bottom of the graph now) based off news that 2.5 million of these jobs have comeback(of 22.5 million lost). Doesn’t make any sense to me (surely the markets can’t be that forward looking)



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  38. #1838
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    Quote Originally Posted by ~dadam02~ View Post
    Would have lost the house today with this strategy.
    I know! Onwards and upwards!

  39. #1839
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    Quote Originally Posted by miguelh34 View Post
    I agree
    So do I but it seems we are a minority view.

    There is a feeding frenzy going on.

  40. #1840
    Don't knock it

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  41. #1841
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    It seems that it pays to use this thread as a contra indication since pretty much the opposite of what is most often prophesied seems to happen.

  42. #1842
    Interesting to note there have been large amount of new brokerage accounts being opened in the states. Guess where the $1200 stimulus money for some has been going?

  43. #1843
    Quote Originally Posted by Padders View Post
    It seems that it pays to use this thread and its most regular contributors as a contra indication since pretty much the opposite of what is most often prophesised seems to happen.
    Done very well out of some dodgy AIM stocks last few months.

  44. #1844
    Grand Master Raffe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Padders View Post
    It seems that it pays to use this thread as a contra indication since pretty much the opposite of what is most often prophesied seems to happen.
    100%.

  45. #1845
    Quote Originally Posted by Padders View Post
    It seems that it pays to use this thread as a contra indication since pretty much the opposite of what is most often prophesied seems to happen.
    Jup we have either got this wrong - missed even a generational investment opportunity or it will collapse spectacularly at some point during the year (even if it did that, lost some chance to make a quick buck). Either way, I've learnt a lot and frankly find the disconnect between on the ground economy and markets more than slightly wrong.

  46. #1846
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    It really is nuts what is going on.
    Unless there is a serious second wave worldwide I suspect the trend will continue.

    Airline shares shock me more than any other!

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  47. #1847
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    One theory I have is that there has been so much negativity, bad news and shock over the last 4 months that the green shoots of normality returning is helping give the markets a huge lift, add in all the stimulus packages and its like a shot of adrenaline for the markets.

    I have invested and sold airline based shares all through this period and overall I have done well as its been a seesaw of movements, I'll continue to do so but I'll watch carefully once the furlough systems start coming to an end..

  48. #1848
    Quote Originally Posted by crazyp View Post
    missed even a generational investment opportunity.
    Folk are typically gambling on the stock market with hundreds or low thousands of pounds. Usually spare money they can afford to lose.

    Even if you missed out on the 40% return on let us say £10k potential investment, that is still only a £4K upside you have missed out on. And while very good money, it is hardly life changing. It will buy you a new ceramic seamaster, rather than helping you to retire early.

    Missing out on generational life changing investments is when you sold all your pension and investment funds at the top of the market, and then reinvested them all back in at the bottom. Who was brave enough to cash in their whole portfolio in February prior to Covid when the markets where totally benign? Nobody.

    As always, hindsight is a wonderful thing

  49. #1849
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    Quote Originally Posted by miguelh34 View Post
    Interesting to note there have been large amount of new brokerage accounts being opened in the states. Guess where the $1200 stimulus money for some has been going?
    helluva rigged game.

  50. #1850
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    So anybody brave enough to put some cash into oil as per something like the below? All sorts of risks at the moment of course and they seem to have issued some guidance warning about this. Raffe's experience a prime example. But surely this has got to recover in the medium term. Thoughts?
    WISDOMTREE WTI CRUDE OIL (CRUD)

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