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Thread: Brexit Stockpiling Skews Swiss Watch Export Growth

  1. #1
    Grand Master abraxas's Avatar
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    Brexit Stockpiling Skews Swiss Watch Export Growth



    Brexit Stockpiling Skews Swiss Watch Export Growth

    Shipments to the UK soared in Q1, but were so-so elsewhere.
    https://www.hodinkee.com/articles/br...-export-growth

    "There are eight brands that make up 80% of the market," he says, exaggerating slightly. (Morgan Stanley puts the number at 18.) "And 300 brands fight for the rest." [quote]

  2. #2
    Master
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    Not something you normally see UK beating US, Hong Kong and China importing luxury Swiss goods, it can’t all be Toblerones!

  3. #3
    Master James.uk's Avatar
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    Nice to see you here again John.


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  4. #4
    Master
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    The spike in exports was caused by Brexit related dealer stockpiling, rather than actual sales to customers. With inventory already high that presumably will not repeat again in October. It should also mean a dip in exports post-Brexit, as stocks are brought back down again.

    Given the dearth of Rolex model availability, presumably we didn't get many more of those! :-)

  5. #5
    Journeyman
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    So do you guys think Brexit will relieve or compound the current Rolex shortage? Interesting article, thanks for posting.

  6. #6
    Master beechcustom's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Uglybug View Post
    So do you guys think Brexit will relieve or compound the current Rolex shortage? Interesting article, thanks for posting.
    100% compound. Wouldn't be surprised if we get another UK price increase either.

  7. #7
    Craftsman
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    Switzerland is not in the EU so why should BREXIT have any impact at all ?

  8. #8
    Master
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    It's not just watches, many segments are worried about customs delays amid the 'Brexit chaos' we're assured of. The best way around that is to have higher stocks already in the UK.
    My own company did that on any key material we could through Jan-Feb, and will now carry those higher stocks through to October to see what happens.
    That applied even to material coming from China, Japan, US etc. The problem is not so much with EU, but just with customs capacity in the case that EU traffic has to transit customs on top of all the ROW material that already has to go through.

  9. #9
    Grand Master abraxas's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by James.uk View Post
    Nice to see you here again John.
    Thanks. I've been pottering around for a few months now. Just testing the water.

  10. #10
    Journeyman
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    The article failed to mention the recent fall of the pound, which is likely to be just as (if not more) significant - the UK is currently one of the cheapest places to buy watches. This has been reflected in the classic car market too, and probably others that I’m less familiar with.


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  11. #11
    Craftsman
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    Quote Originally Posted by BadgerUK View Post
    Switzerland is not in the EU so why should BREXIT have any impact at all ?
    Because the EU has a trading agreement with Switzerland and many other non-EU countries too.

    Once UK leaves the EU, then the UK will no longer have the benefit of any of those trading agreements.

    At that moment, watches will be the least of our worries.

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