I'm not an expert in that, but in engineering in general less parts mean less possibility of failure.
Nowadays most mechanical watches I think are automatic, so probably these movements, in the price range that most people can afford, have been more thoroughly tested and developed. On the other hand many very expensive watches (100K+ UK pounds) have manual winding movements.
Probably there is no accurate answer to your question, because if you want to compare the robustness and the reliability of two mechanisms, you should test several of them under the exact same conditions.