Dear all,

What else to do on a Sunday evening than immersing oneself in numbers and watches?

I previously published a Price/Volume analysis for the Rolex 14060M (you can find it HERE) and thought it would be an absolutely cracking idea to follow up with another. This time, for the Rolex 5513.

The data comes from the Sales Corner of a European forum and is only for pre-owned Rolex 5513 Submariners. As you know there are many different 5513s and they are not all equal in value. A gilt dial will be worth more than a maxi dial for instance. But here, i've bucketed them all in one category which leads to some choppiness.


So here's what it looks like:

We can see that on average, Rolex 5513 prices have increased at 8.9% per year during that period, which is more than twice the rate for the 14060M which increased at 3%p.a. (cf. graph bottom).


Looks like the average number of 5513s being sold is decreasing. Went from an average of 14 sold per quarter in 2012 to 8 per quarter in 2018.


As volume goes down, prices go up as suggested by the negative correlation ratio of -0.5. Not the strongest but still a correlation. This contrasts with the correlation of 0 found in the price/volume analysis of the 14060M.

Unit on y-axis is Euros starting at 0 (purposefully removed)








For reference, the 14060M data.





Enjoy!